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Bursa Yildirimspor vs Inegol Kafkas

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Cat M.
74' Event
Toroman O.
Assist: Kaplan Y.

AI Match Summary

Inegol Kafkas in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inegol Kafkas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bursa Yildirimspor
28%
Draws
50%
Inegol Kafkas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Inegol Kafkas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Inegol Kafkas have won more games recently than Bursa Yildirimspor.
  • Win probability leans Inegol Kafkas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Inegol Kafkas have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 21%
Inegol Kafkas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Inegol Kafkas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Inegol Kafkas vs Bursa Yildirimspor
3:1
Dec 22, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Inegol Kafkas
0:1
Sep 27, 2023 Turkish Cup
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Inegol Kafkas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Inegol Kafkas Compare

Top Goalscorer Toroman O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 24 / 100
Inegol Kafkas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Inegol Kafkas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bursa Yildirimspor scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Inegol Kafkas has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Bursa Yildirimspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS Inegol Kafkas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursa Yildirimspor

(Home)
27 Apr
Corluspor
1 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
23 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 3
Corluspor
18 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
12 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
0 : 0
Galata Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
1 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
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Inegol Kafkas

(Away)
18 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
12 Apr
Kestel Cilekspor
1 : 2
Inegol Kafkas
05 Apr
Galata Spor Kulubu
0 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
29 Mar
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 0
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
25 Mar
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
3 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Gemlikspor301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)