Sport Picks
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Karsiyaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 2 
Match Events
18'
18'
Golbasi M.
Assist: Kara E.
49'
49'
Tandogan G.
Assist: Aslan M.
84'
84'
Yalcin F.
Assist: Askar M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bursa Yildirimspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Karsiyaka lately — more wins on the board than Bursa Yildirimspor.
- Win probability leans Bursa Yildirimspor's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular 3. Lig Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 68%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bursa Yildirimspor | Karsiyaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Karsiyaka
2:2
Sep 17, 2025 Turkish Cup
Karsiyaka vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bursa Yildirimspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Golbasi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yalcin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Karsiyaka Compare
Top Goalscorer Tandogan G.
1 Goals Assists Leader San E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bursa Yildirimspor 59 / 100
Karsiyaka 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bursa Yildirimspor Karsiyaka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bursa Yildirimspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Bursa Yildirimspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Bursa Yildirimspor found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Karsiyaka has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bursa Yildirimspor VS Karsiyaka
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bursa Yildirimspor
(Home) 07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0 Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0 Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2 Bursa Yildirimspor
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0 Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
05 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Soke 1970
23 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 3 Corluspor
Page 1 of 3
Karsiyaka
(Away) 06 Oct
Karsiyaka
3 : 1 Afyonkarahisaspor
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1 Karsiyaka
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1 Altay
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kepez Bld.
0 : 1 Karsiyaka
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0 Karsiyaka
24 Apr
Ayvalikgucu
0 : 0 Karsiyaka
18 Apr
Tire 2021 FK
1 : 1 Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemlikspor | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Etimesgut | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 3 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Eskisehirspor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Ayvalikgucu | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Balikesirspor | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Bigaspor | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 9 | Soke 1970 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Altay | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Gaziemir Spor Kulubu | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Karsiyaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 15 | Aksehirspor | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Kepez Bld. | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 17 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:10 | 2 |
| 18 | Alanya 1221 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:13 | 1 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)
