Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bursa Yildirimspor vs Kozanspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Kadioglu Y.
90' Event
Gulec M.
90' Event
Yaylan B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2020/2021 game between Bursa Yildirimspor and Kozanspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kozanspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bursa Yildirimspor
40%
Draws
29%
Kozanspor
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bursa Yildirimspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kozanspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Kozanspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2021 3. Lig Group 4
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Kozanspor
1:2
Jan 6, 2021 3. Lig Group 4
Kozanspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulec M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kozanspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadioglu Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yaylan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 32 / 100
Kozanspor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Kozanspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursa Yildirimspor's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kozanspor conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Bursa Yildirimspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursa Yildirimspor

(Home)
27 Apr
Corluspor
1 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
23 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 3
Corluspor
18 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
12 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
0 : 0
Galata Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
1 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
Page 1 of 7

Kozanspor

(Away)
01 May
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 2
Kozanspor
25 Apr
Kozanspor
3 : 1
Karakopru
21 Apr
Bayrampasa
3 : 1
Kozanspor
14 Apr
Kozanspor
2 : 1
Siirt Ozel
07 Apr
Silivrispor
2 : 1
Kozanspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adiyaman FK321512543:2757
2Bursa Yildirimspor32168841:2556
3Duzcespor32159845:3354
4Aksaray Bld.32158940:2753
5Kelkit Bld.32149934:2751
6Bayrampasa321361344:3745
752 Orduspor321014844:3344
8Alanya 12213210121037:3542
9Karakopru329131045:4240
10Kirikkale FK321171437:4540
11Izmir Coruhlu329121135:3639
12Siirt Ozel321091328:4839
13Modafenspor321081434:4138
14Kozanspor329111227:3238
15Sultanbeyli321071525:3637
16Silivrispor328111331:4635
17Muglaspor324121629:4924
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021 (Play Offs)