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Bursaspor vs Igdir FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Bursa
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Iheanacho K.
Assist: Elitim J.
46'
Sub
Colak A. In: Douglas Tanque
Out: Colak A.
62'
Sub
Aydogdu S. In: Akcan E.
Out: Aydogdu S.

AI Match Summary

Bursaspor in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bursaspor
20%
Draws
40%
Igdir FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bursaspor lately — more wins on the board than Igdir FK.
  • Bursaspor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Igdir FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Igdir FK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs Igdir FK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Iheanacho K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Igdir FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 40 / 100
Igdir FK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Igdir FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Bursaspor stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Igdir FK conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Igdir FK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
Page 1 of 6

Igdir FK

(Away)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)