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Bursaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group Timsah Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bursaspor play Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu in the 2. Lig Red Group. Bursaspor are favorites here. Recently, Bursaspor averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu averaged 0.72 goals scored and 2.83 conceded. In past meetings, Bursaspor won 2, Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Bursaspor and 0.63 for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. This points to a Bursaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Bursaspor
18%
Draws
15%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Bursaspor picked up more points recently compared to Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 29%
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 22
Goals Scored 2.38 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.69 2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Bursaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Bursaspor
0:1
Jan 14, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu vs Bursaspor
2:0
Aug 27, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Bursaspor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gok B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aydogdu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 66 / 100
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bursaspor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bursaspor attacking → ← attacking Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bursaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 15
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52