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Burton vs Bradford City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burton host Bradford City in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Burton have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Bradford City's 1.5 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Burton have won 3 to Bradford City's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.63, favoring Bradford City. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Burton
20%
Draws
52%
Bradford City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bradford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bradford City come out ahead of Burton on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Bradford City taking it.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Burton Clean Sheet 14%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burton Bradford City
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League One
Burton vs Bradford City
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 League One
Bradford City vs Burton
1:2
Oct 18, 2022 EFL Trophy
Burton vs Bradford City
4:0
Jan 26, 2019 League One
Burton vs Bradford City
1:1
Aug 21, 2018 League One
Bradford City vs Burton
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 23 / 100
Bradford City 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burton Bradford City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bradford City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burton found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Bradford City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Burton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Bradford City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)
10 Oct
Doncaster
1 : 0
Burton
06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1
Burton
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3
Huddersfield
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Bradford City

(Away)
10 Oct
Bradford City
0 : 0
Leyton Orient
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Reading
1 : 1
Bradford City
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1
Bradford City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 10 6 1 3 18:12 19
2 Bradford City 9 5 2 2 8:5 17
3 Stockport County 9 5 1 3 20:11 16
4 Huddersfield 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Cambridge Utd 9 4 4 1 14:11 16
6 Reading 9 4 3 2 22:11 15
7 Sheffield Wed 8 4 3 1 15:8 15
8 Oxford Utd 7 4 2 1 15:8 14
9 Stevenage 8 3 3 2 12:8 12
10 Burton 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
11 AFC Wimbledon 9 3 3 3 7:10 12
12 Leyton Orient 9 3 2 4 13:11 11
13 Luton 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
14 Mansfield 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
15 Wycombe 9 2 4 3 14:20 10
16 Doncaster 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
17 Leicester 8 2 3 3 10:14 9
18 Blackpool 8 2 2 4 13:14 8
19 Barnsley 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
20 Peterborough 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
21 Bromley 8 2 2 4 9:20 8
22 Notts County 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8 0 6 2 9:15 6
24 Wigan 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)