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Burton vs Leicester

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Armer J.
45' Event
Otchere K.
46'
Sub
Sibbick T. In: Piper K.
Out: Sibbick T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Burton and Leicester finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leicester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Burton
6%
Draws
90%
Leicester
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Leicester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Leicester taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Burton Clean Sheet 20%
Leicester Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burton Leicester
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
0:3
Aug 9, 2023 EFL Cup
Burton vs Leicester
0:2
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
1:0
Oct 29, 2019 EFL Cup
Burton vs Leicester
1:3
Aug 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer Otchere K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 10 / 100
Leicester 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burton Leicester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burton scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Leicester has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Burton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Leicester
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0
Burton
02 May
Leyton Orient
2 : 2
Burton
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1
Exeter
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Leicester

(Away)
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3
Leicester
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Leicester
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
14 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Leicester
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0
Northampton
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