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Burton vs Leicester

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Armer J.
45' Event
Otchere K.
46'
Sub
Sibbick T. In: Piper K.
Out: Sibbick T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Burton and Leicester finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leicester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Burton
35%
Draws
40%
Leicester
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Leicester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Burton Clean Sheet 19%
Leicester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burton Leicester
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League One
Leicester vs Burton
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
0:3
Aug 9, 2023 EFL Cup
Burton vs Leicester
0:2
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
1:0
Oct 29, 2019 EFL Cup
Burton vs Leicester
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer Otchere K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alves W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 31 / 100
Leicester 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burton Leicester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Burton scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Leicester has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Burton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Leicester
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Mansfield
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0
Burton
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Cambridge Utd
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1
AFC Wimbledon
29 Aug
Notts County
2 : 1
Burton
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Leicester

(Away)
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1
Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4
Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0
Plymouth
29 Aug
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0
Leicester
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