Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Burton

2 - 0

Liverpool U21

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Tavares F.

46'

Sub

Godwin-Malife U. In: Revan S.

Out: Godwin-Malife U.

46'

Sub

Chauke K. In: Newall J.

Out: Chauke K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Burton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Burton

30%

Draws

47%

Liverpool U21

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Liverpool U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Liverpool U21 come out ahead of Burton on wins alone.
47% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool U21 taking it.
Liverpool U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Burton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Burton Clean Sheet 13%

Liverpool U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burton	Liverpool U21
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	15
Draws	12	3
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.13	2.34
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy

Burton vs Liverpool U21

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Larsson J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.74

Liverpool U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burton 22 / 100

Liverpool U21 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burton Liverpool U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liverpool U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Burton scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Burton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Burton VS Liverpool U21

1.38 Goals Scored 2.14

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57

75% Over 1.5 71%

50% Over 2.5 57%

13% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Burton

(Home)

22 Sept

Burton

1 : 2

Nottingham U21

19 Sept

Burton

2 : 2

Mansfield

12 Sept

Oxford Utd

3 : 0

Burton

05 Sept

Burton

2 : 2

Cambridge Utd

02 Sept

Burton

4 : 1

AFC Wimbledon

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Liverpool U21

(Away)

22 Sept

Rochdale

3 : 4

Liverpool U21

19 Sept

Liverpool U21

5 : 1

Brighton U21

14 Sept

West Ham U21

1 : 0

Liverpool U21

30 Aug

Liverpool U21

2 : 1

Leeds U21

21 Aug

Everton U21

1 : 1

Liverpool U21

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