Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Patterson P. In: Magennis J.
Out: Patterson P.
72'
72'
Sub
Webster C. In: Collar W.
Out: Webster C.
74'
74'
Armer J.
Assist: Krubally S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stevenage have won more games recently than Burton.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Stevenage taking it.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Burton Clean Sheet 10%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League One
Burton vs Stevenage
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 League One
Burton vs Stevenage
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Burton
2:2
Feb 18, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Burton
0:1
Dec 10, 2024 EFL Trophy
Burton vs Stevenage
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Armer J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanderson O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 18 / 100
Stevenage 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton Stevenage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stevenage Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burton scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Burton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Stevenage has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS Stevenage
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 06 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 1 Burton
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3 Huddersfield
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1 Burton
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Mansfield
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Burton
1 : 3 Huddersfield
22 Sept
Burton
1 : 2 Nottingham U21
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Mansfield
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2 Cambridge Utd
02 Sept
Burton
4 : 1 AFC Wimbledon
Page 1 of 4
Stevenage
(Away) 06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0 Stevenage
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
