Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Patterson P. In: Magennis J.
Out: Patterson P.
72'
72'
Sub
Webster C. In: Collar W.
Out: Webster C.
74'
74'
Armer J.
Assist: Krubally S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Stevenage have won more games recently than Burton.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Burton Clean Sheet 68%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Burton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League One
Burton vs Stevenage
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 League One
Burton vs Stevenage
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Burton
2:2
Feb 18, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Burton
0:1
Dec 10, 2024 EFL Trophy
Burton vs Stevenage
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Burton Compare
Top Goalscorer Armer J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanderson O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Burton 41 / 100
Stevenage 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Burton Stevenage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Burton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Burton scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Burton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Stevenage has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Burton VS Stevenage
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Burton
(Home) 15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
08 Aug
Burton
1 : 2 Blackburn
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
28 Jul
Solihull Moors
1 : 1 Burton
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1 Birmingham
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
08 Aug
Burton
1 : 2 Blackburn
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0 Derby
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1 Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3 Leicester
Page 1 of 4
Stevenage
(Away) 15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
07 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2 Stevenage
01 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 0 Colchester
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
07 Aug
Wycombe
1 : 2 Stevenage
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
25 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 1 Stevenage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheffield Wed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Mansfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 15 | Burton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
