Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Burundi U23 vs Kenya U23

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship
Tue, Jul 27, 2021
1 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
63'
63'

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Burundi U23
20%
Draws
40%
Kenya U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kenya U23 have managed 0.86 goals a game lately — Burundi U23 are scoring more at 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Burundi U23, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Burundi U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Kenya U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi U23 Kenya U23
Matches Played 6 7
Wins 2 2
Draws 2 2
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Burundi U23 vs Kenya U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi U23 41 / 100
Kenya U23 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi U23 Kenya U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burundi U23 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Recent resilience: Burundi U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Kenya U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 7 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Burundi U23 VS Kenya U23
1 Goals Scored 0.86
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 57%
33% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi U23

(Home)
30 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0
Burundi U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
23 Jul
Ethiopia U23
1 : 1
Burundi U23
20 Jul
Burundi U23
3 : 0
Eritrea U23
26 Mar
Congo U23
2 : 1
Burundi U23
Page 1 of 2

Kenya U23

(Away)
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0
Kenya U23
21 Jul
South Sudan U23
0 : 2
Kenya U23
18 Jul
Djibouti U23
0 : 3
Kenya U23
26 Mar
Kenya U23
0 : 0
Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania U23 1
South Sudan U23 0
Burundi U23 1
Kenya U23 0
Final
Tanzania U23 1
Burundi U23 0
South Sudan U23 1
Kenya U23 0