Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny

Burundi

0 - 0

Malawi

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Singo Y.

35'

Chembezi D.

61'

Sub

Chirwa G. In: Njaliwa L.

Out: Chirwa G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Africa Cup of Nations 2025 game between Burundi and Malawi finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Burundi

28%

Draws

22%

Malawi

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Burundi come out ahead of Malawi on wins alone.
50% — that's where the model lands on Burundi taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Burundi Clean Sheet 68%

Malawi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burundi	Malawi
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	9	8
Draws	4	5
Losses	15	17
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Burundi vs Malawi

Possession: 50% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sep 5, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Malawi vs Burundi

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi 59 / 100

Malawi 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burundi Malawi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malawi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Malawi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Burundi scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Burundi VS Malawi

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4