Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2022/2023

Bury AFC

5 - 3

Lancaster

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bury AFC in this FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 5-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Bury AFC

30%

Draws

33%

Lancaster

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bury AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Bury AFC haven't matched Lancaster's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Bury AFC's way, sitting at 80%.
Lancaster arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Bury AFC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Bury AFC Clean Sheet 18%

Lancaster Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bury AFC	Lancaster
Matches Played	12	31
Wins	5	11
Draws	3	9
Losses	4	11
Goals Scored	2.25	1.39
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.48
Expected Goals (xG)	1.10	1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2022 FA Cup

Bury AFC vs Lancaster

5:3

Sep 17, 2022 FA Cup

Lancaster vs Bury AFC

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury AFC 76 / 100

Lancaster 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bury AFC Lancaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury AFC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury AFC scored in 92% of their last 12 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Lancaster has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Bury AFC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lancaster

0 Goals Scored 1.63

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury AFC

(Home)

15 Oct

Bury AFC

1 : 2

York City

05 Oct

Bury AFC

2 : 0

Clitheroe

01 Oct

Clitheroe

1 : 1

Bury AFC

21 Sept

Bury AFC

5 : 3

Lancaster

17 Sept

Lancaster

1 : 1

Bury AFC

Page 1 of 3

Lancaster

(Away)

12 Sept

Lancaster

0 : 2

Curzon Ashton

08 Sept

Tadcaster Albion

0 : 2

Lancaster

05 Sept

Lancaster

1 : 1

Tadcaster Albion

31 Aug

Lancaster

0 : 3

Workington

28 Aug

Guiseley

1 : 2

Lancaster

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Oldham -

TBD -

Chester -

TBD -

Charnock Richard 3

Pontefract Collieries 4

Stourbridge 3

Hanley Town 4

Atherstone 3

Kimberley Miners Welfare 1

Cheshunt -

TBD -

Stortford 0

Neots 2

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Tamworth 6

Boldmere St Michaels 0

Stafford 0

Newcastle Town 2

Nantwich 0

FC Congleton Town 2

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Farsley -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Kempston 1

Bedford 2

Barwell 4

Highgate 1

TBD -

Kettering -

Stocksbridge 2

Atherton Collieries 1

Marine 2

Radcliffe 1

Ashton United 0

Ashington 3

TBD -

Bradford PA -

Clitheroe 3

Heaton Stannington 2

TBD -

Spennymoor -

Stalybridge 0

Lancaster 1

Bury AFC 2

North Shields 1

TBD -

York City -

Shildon 2

Penistone Church 1

South Shields 3

Workington 2

Whitby 5

Bishop Auckland 0

Marske United 2

Runcorn Linnets 1

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Basford Utd. 5

Romulus 0

Grantham Town 3

Rugby 4

Lichfield City 3

Stourport 2

TBD -

Boston United -

Rushall 1

Redditch 4

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Hertford Town 0

Royston Town 3

Scarborough Athletic -

TBD -

Dunston 3

City Of Liverpool 0

Witton Albion 0

United of Manchester 1

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Liversedge 2

Glossop North End 1

TBD -

Chorley -

Blyth Spartans -

TBD -

Guiseley 2

Avro 1

TBD -

Wrexham -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Anstey Nomads 3

Whitchurch Alport 1

Matlock 0

Ilkeston 2

Edgware Town 1

Grays 4

Dunstable Town 0

Shefford 2

TBD -

Chesterfield -

Mickleover 2

Alvechurch 3

Lye Town 1

Harborough 2

Leamington -

TBD -

Nuneaton 3

Belper Town 1

Hednesford 1

Long Eaton 3

Gainsborough 3

Loughborough Students 1

Brackley -

TBD -

Worksop 5

Worcester Raiders 0

Goole 0

Prescot Cables 1

Bamber Bridge 1

Whickham 0

Buxton -

TBD -

Alfreton -

Warrington Rylands 0

Hyde 4

Morpeth 3

Warrington Town 4

Darlington FC -

TBD -

Southport -

Notts County -

TBD -

Shepshed 1

Coalville Town 3

West Didsbury & Chorlton 0

Macclesfield 1

St. Albans -

TBD -

Bury Town 0

Sudbury 3

Canvey Island 5

Enfield Town 1

St Ives Town 4

Barking 0

Telford -

TBD -

Stone Old Alleynians 0

Chasetown 1

TBD -

Halifax -

Bromley -

TBD -

Sheppey United 2

Lewes 10

Three Bridges 2

Erith Town 1

Hereford -

TBD -

Bromsgrove 4

Stamford 3

Torquay -

TBD -

Bognor Regis 6

Cray Wanderers 2

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

Hamworthy United 0

Gosport Borough 4

Royal Wootton 2

Paulton Rovers 4

Yeovil -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

TBD -

Cinderford Town 2

Laverstock & Ford 3

Walton & Hersham 3

Beaconsfield Town 2

Midhurst & Easebourne 0

Chatham 6

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Slough Town -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Eastbourne Borough -

TBD -

Marlow 0

Uxbridge 1

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Cray Valley 3

Hastings 0

Eastbourne Town 0

Hanwell Town 2

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Dover Ath. -

Bath City -

TBD -

Roman Glass St George 0

Hartley Wintney 4

Phoenix Sports 4

Rusthall 1

Sevenoaks 2

Kingstonian 1

Woking -

TBD -

Southend -

Dartford -

TBD -

East Grinstead Town 3

Beckenham Town 5

Holyport 0

Binfield 1

TBD -

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Potton United 1

Hendon 5

Wingate & Finchley 1

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Herne Bay 2

Horsham FC 1

Ashford United 2

Hanworth Villa 1

Metropolitan Police 4

Corinthian 3

Corinthian-Casuals 1

Burgess Hill 2

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Slimbridge 2

Sholing 5

Ashford Town 2

Westfield 4

Carshalton 5

VCD Athletic 1

Havant & Waterlooville -

TBD -

Wincanton Town 2

AFC Totton 9

Baffins Milton Rovers 1

Winchester City 5

TBD -

Weymouth -

Welling -

TBD -

Fisher 5

Spelthorne Sports 1

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Haringey Borough 1

Ipswich Wanderers 1

Hornchurch 3

Hitchin 0

Heybridge 3

TBD -

Braintree -

Poole Town 0

Salisbury 2

TBD -

Oxford City -

North Leigh 5

AFC Stoneham 3

Didcot 3

Plymouth Parkway 4

Yate 4

Aylesbury Vale 3

Frome Town 0

Tiverton 1

Chesham 5

Peacehaven & Telscombe 2

Bracknell Town 4

Harrow Borough 1

Cleethorpes 0

Stratford 4

TBD -

Banbury -

Berkhamsted Town 2

FC Witham Town 1

TBD -

Concord Rangers -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Barnet -

TBD -

Basingstoke 2

Weston-super-Mare 4

Blackfield & Langley 2

Shepton Mallet 3

Bishops Cleeve 3

Westbury United 1

Torpoint 1

Helston Athletic 2

Needham Market 3

Leiston 1

Lowestoft 0

Sheringham 1

Waltham Abbey 7

Buckhurst Hill 2

Brightlingsea 3

Mildenhall 0

TBD -

Maidstone -

Aveley 2

Potters 3

Romford 3

Hashtag 2

Chelmsford -

TBD -

Harlow 0

Kings Langley 2

TBD -

Aldershot -

Hungerford -

TBD -

Gloucester City -

Merthyr Town 5

Truro 2

Larkhall 0

Cirencester 2

Dulwich Hamlet -

TBD -

Aylesbury United 0

Margate 1

Folkestone 3

North Greenford Utd. 1

Leatherhead 1

Chichester City 2

Willand Rovers 1

Swindon Supermarine 2

Wimborne 0

Dorchester 1

Farnborough -

TBD -

Hythe 0

Hayes & Yeading 2

Enfield FC 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

Billericay 4

Leverstock Green 1

East Thurrock Utd 2

Biggleswade FC 1

Dereham 0

Biggleswade Town 1

Quarter-finals

Oldham -

TBD -

Chester 2

Pontefract Collieries 0

Hanley Town 4

Atherstone 1

Cheshunt 3

Neots 1

Kidderminster 1

Tamworth 0

Newcastle Town 3

FC Congleton Town 4

AFC Fylde 4

Farsley 1

King’s Lynn 4

Bedford 1

Barwell 1

Kettering 4

Stocksbridge 2

Marine 1

Ashington 2

Bradford PA 1

Clitheroe 2

Spennymoor 0

Lancaster 4

Bury AFC 6

TBD -

York City -

Shildon 0

South Shields 5

Whitby 0

Marske United 1

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Basford Utd. 2

Rugby 0

Lichfield City 0

Boston United 4

Redditch 2

Peterborough Sports 3

Hemel Hempstead 3

Royston Town 0

Scarborough Athletic 3

Dunston 2

United of Manchester 2

Curzon Ashton 3

Liversedge 1

Chorley 10

Blyth Spartans 2

Guiseley 0

TBD -

Wrexham -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Anstey Nomads 5

Ilkeston 4

Grays 1

Shefford 3

TBD -

Chesterfield -

Alvechurch 4

Harborough 0

Leamington 0

Nuneaton 1

Long Eaton 3

Gainsborough 5

Brackley 0

Worksop 2

Prescot Cables 1

Bamber Bridge 2

Buxton 2

Alfreton 1

Hyde 1

Warrington Town 0

Darlington FC 3

Southport 2

Notts County -

TBD -

Coalville Town 1

Macclesfield 0

St. Albans 2

Sudbury 3

Canvey Island 0

St Ives Town 3

Telford 2

Chasetown 4

TBD -

Halifax -

Bromley -

TBD -

Lewes 1

Three Bridges 5

Hereford 1

Bromsgrove 0

Torquay -

TBD -

Bognor Regis 0

Hampton & Richmond 2

Gosport Borough 2

Paulton Rovers 3

Yeovil -

TBD -

Taunton Town 1

Laverstock & Ford 0

Walton & Hersham 5

Chatham 3

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Slough Town 1

Worthing FC 3

Eastbourne Borough 2

Uxbridge 0

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Cray Valley 1

Hanwell Town 2

Ebbsfleet 2

Dover Ath. 0

Bath City 3

Hartley Wintney 2

Phoenix Sports 0

Sevenoaks 1

Woking -

TBD -

Southend -

Dartford 1

Beckenham Town 2

Binfield 4

Tonbridge 0

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Hendon 3

Wingate & Finchley 1

Herne Bay 2

Ashford United 0

Metropolitan Police 3

Burgess Hill 1

Chippenham Town 3

Sholing 0

Westfield 1

Carshalton 2

Havant & Waterlooville 1

AFC Totton 0

Winchester City 1

Weymouth 3

Welling 3

Fisher 0

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Hornchurch 3

Heybridge 2

Braintree 3

Salisbury 1

Oxford City 2

North Leigh 2

Plymouth Parkway 3

Yate 2

Tiverton 1

Chesham 2

Bracknell Town 5

Stratford 0

Banbury 1

Berkhamsted Town 2

Concord Rangers 0

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Barnet -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare 1

Shepton Mallet 0

Bishops Cleeve 6

Helston Athletic 7

Needham Market 2

Sheringham 0

Waltham Abbey 2

Brightlingsea 3

TBD -

Maidstone -

Potters 1

Romford 2

Chelmsford 6

Kings Langley 1

TBD -

Aldershot -

Hungerford 1

Gloucester City 3

Merthyr Town 3

Cirencester 2

Dulwich Hamlet 2

Margate 1

Folkestone 3

Chichester City 0

Swindon Supermarine 1

Dorchester 0

Farnborough 3

Hayes & Yeading 1

Enfield FC 0

Billericay 4

East Thurrock Utd 0

Biggleswade Town 3

Semi-finals

Oldham -

TBD -

Chester 4

Hanley Town 0

Cheshunt 1

Kidderminster 2

FC Congleton Town 2

AFC Fylde 6

King’s Lynn 6

Kettering 1

Stocksbridge 2

Ashington 5

Clitheroe 1

Bury AFC 3

TBD -

York City -

South Shields 5

Marske United 2

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Basford Utd. 5

Boston United 4

Peterborough Sports 3

Hemel Hempstead 1

Scarborough Athletic 4

Curzon Ashton 5

Chorley 0

Blyth Spartans 1

TBD -

Wrexham -

Altrincham -

TBD -

Gateshead -

Anstey Nomads 5

Shefford 0

TBD -

Chesterfield -

Alvechurch 4

Nuneaton 0

Gainsborough 0

Worksop 1

Bamber Bridge 0

Buxton 3

Hyde 1

Darlington FC 0

Notts County -

TBD -

Coalville Town 3

Sudbury 0

St Ives Town 3

Chasetown 1

TBD -

Halifax -

Bromley -

TBD -

Three Bridges 0

Hereford 3

Torquay -

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond 6

Paulton Rovers 1

Yeovil -

TBD -

Taunton Town 1

Walton & Hersham 0

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Worthing FC 1

Eastbourne Borough 2

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

Hanwell Town 1

Ebbsfleet 2

Bath City 0

Sevenoaks 1

Woking -

TBD -

Southend -

Beckenham Town 5

Binfield 3

TBD -

Dagenham & Red. -

Hendon 3

Herne Bay 2

Metropolitan Police 1

Chippenham Town 2

Carshalton 0

Havant & Waterlooville 2

Weymouth 3

Welling 0

Hornchurch 3

Braintree 0

Oxford City 4

Plymouth Parkway 2

Yate 0

Bracknell Town 3

Banbury 2

Berkhamsted Town 0

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Wealdstone -

Barnet -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare 7

Helston Athletic 2

Needham Market 2

Brightlingsea 0

TBD -

Maidstone -

Romford 0

Chelmsford 5

TBD -

Aldershot -

Gloucester City 0

Merthyr Town 1

Dulwich Hamlet 0

Folkestone 1

Swindon Supermarine 1

Farnborough 5

Billericay 3

Biggleswade Town 6

Final

Oldham 4

Chester 3

Kidderminster 2

AFC Fylde 4

King’s Lynn 3

Ashington 1

Bury AFC 1

York City 2

South Shields 1

Scunthorpe 0

Solihull Moors 1

Basford Utd. 0

Peterborough Sports 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Blyth Spartans 3

Wrexham 4

Altrincham 3

Gateshead 4

Anstey Nomads 0

Chesterfield 3

Alvechurch 3

Worksop 2

Buxton 2

Hyde 1

Notts County 2

Coalville Town 3

St Ives Town 0

Halifax 3

Bromley 1

Hereford 2

Torquay 4

Hampton & Richmond 3

Yeovil 0

Taunton Town 1

Maidenhead 2

Eastbourne Borough 1

Dorking Wanderers 1

Eastleigh 3

Ebbsfleet 2

Sevenoaks 0

Woking 2

Southend 1

Beckenham Town 0

Dagenham & Red. 7

Hendon 2

Chippenham Town 3

Havant & Waterlooville 1

Weymouth 2

Hornchurch 1

Oxford City 4

Bracknell Town 2

Banbury 1

Boreham Wood 5

Wealdstone 3

Barnet 3

Weston-super-Mare 0

Needham Market 1

Maidstone 0

Chelmsford 2

Aldershot 0

Merthyr Town 2

Folkestone 1

Farnborough 7

Biggleswade Town 0

Bury AFC vs Lancaster

England

Bury AFC

Lancaster

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Bury AFC

Lancaster

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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