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Bury FC vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Gigg Lane, Bury
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bury FC host Cleethorpes in the NPL Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cleethorpes have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Bury FC have conceded 1.23 and scored 2.38. Head-to-head, Bury FC have won 0 to Cleethorpes's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.31, favoring Bury FC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bury FC
20%
Draws
38%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bury FC come out ahead of Cleethorpes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cleethorpes's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 18%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury FC Cleethorpes
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 1 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bury FC vs Cleethorpes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury FC 28 / 100
Cleethorpes 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury FC Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury FC scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Recent resilience: Bury FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Cleethorpes let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bury FC VS Cleethorpes
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

(Home)
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Bury FC
2 : 1
Bromsgrove
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3
Gainsborough
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
12 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 0
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Hyde
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1
Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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