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Bury FC vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Gigg Lane, Bury
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bury FC host Leek Town in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Bury FC at 2.41 goals for, 1.26 against; Leek Town at 1.71 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Bury FC have won 0 to Leek Town's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.75, favoring Bury FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bury FC
20%
Draws
32%
Leek Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leek Town haven't matched Bury FC's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 12%
Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury FC Leek Town
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.41 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Bury FC vs Leek Town
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury FC 30 / 100
Leek Town 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury FC Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury FC scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Leek Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Bury FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bury FC VS Leek Town
3.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Alfreton
2 : 3
Bury FC
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Bury FC
2 : 1
Bromsgrove
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3
Gainsborough
19 Sept
Bury FC
5 : 1
Workington
Page 1 of 6

Leek Town

(Away)
10 Oct
Leek Town
2 : 2
Ashton United
06 Oct
Leek Town
3 : 3
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Worcester
0 : 2
Leek Town
22 Sept
Leek Town
2 : 1
Hyde
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Leek Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 14 9 4 1 31:12 31
2 Cleethorpes 13 9 3 1 30:7 30
3 Guiseley 12 8 1 3 25:11 25
4 Avro 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
5 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
6 Gainsborough 12 7 1 4 25:16 22
7 Curzon Ashton 12 7 1 4 24:16 22
8 Warrington Town 12 6 4 2 23:18 22
9 Workington 14 6 3 5 24:24 21
10 Lancaster 14 6 2 6 19:26 20
11 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
12 Alfreton 14 6 1 7 20:16 19
13 Whitby 13 5 1 7 19:33 16
14 Hyde 14 4 3 7 15:25 15
15 Ashton United 12 3 5 4 14:13 14
16 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
17 Stockton 14 3 3 8 17:25 12
18 Leek Town 12 2 5 5 24:25 11
19 AFC Emley 13 2 5 6 12:25 11
20 Bamber Bridge 13 2 4 7 16:32 10
21 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
22 Ilkeston 14 2 1 11 8:34 7
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