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Bury Town vs Leamington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Canfer O.
21' Event
Canfer O.
60' Event
Quantrell G.

AI Match Summary

Bury Town in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bury Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bury Town
20%
Draws
29%
Leamington
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bury Town have won more games recently than Leamington.
  • Win probability leans Leamington's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 16%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury Town Leamington
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.39 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Leamington
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Canfer O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quantrell G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leamington Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury Town 28 / 100
Leamington 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury Town Leamington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leamington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury Town's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Leamington has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bury Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bury Town VS Leamington
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury Town

(Home)
10 Oct
Alvechurch
0 : 1
Bury Town
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
Page 1 of 6

Leamington

(Away)
10 Oct
Stratford
2 : 1
Leamington
03 Oct
Leamington
4 : 0
Hitchin
29 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 1
Leamington
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2
Leamington
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0
Leamington
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)