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Bury Town vs Stourbridge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bury Town host Stourbridge in the Southern League Premier Central. This one's hard to separate. Bury Town have averaged 2 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Stourbridge's 1.46 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Bury Town have won 0 to Stourbridge's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Bury Town. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bury Town
30%
Draws
29%
Stourbridge
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bury Town have won more games recently than Stourbridge.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 17%
Stourbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury Town Stourbridge
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Stourbridge
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stourbridge vs Bury Town
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury Town 31 / 100
Stourbridge 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury Town Stourbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stourbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bury Town scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Stourbridge let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bury Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bury Town VS Stourbridge
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury Town

(Home)
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0
Hitchin
Page 1 of 6

Stourbridge

(Away)
03 Oct
Stourbridge
0 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3
Stourbridge
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4
Real Bedford
12 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 1
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)