Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan Kyotong vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Busan Gudeok Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Yong-jun J.
55' Event
Kim D.
90' Event
Ha Yong-Ju

AI Match Summary

Busan Kyotong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan Kyotong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Busan Kyotong
28%
Draws
50%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen haven't matched Busan Kyotong's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 16%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Dangjin Citizen
2:1
Mar 30, 2023 Korean Cup
Busan Kyotong vs Dangjin Citizen
0:2
Sep 18, 2022 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Dangjin Citizen
3:0
May 14, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Yong-jun J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ha Yong-Ju
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 23 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Dangjin Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Busan Kyotong scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Dangjin Citizen conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Busan Kyotong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Dangjin Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429