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Busan Kyotong vs Yeoju Citizen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Jang Jae-Woong
Own Goal
41' Event
Kim Y.
79' Event
Im Chan-ul

AI Match Summary

Busan Kyotong in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan Kyotong.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Busan Kyotong
15%
Draws
51%
Yeoju Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeoju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Busan Kyotong lately — more wins on the board than Yeoju Citizen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 20%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Yeoju Citizen
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:2
May 16, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Yeoju Citizen
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Im Chan-ul
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 36 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Yeoju Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yeoju Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan Kyotong scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Yeoju Citizen conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Yeoju Citizen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Yeoju Citizen
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan Kyotong

(Home)
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1
Busan Kyotong
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
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Yeoju Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Yeoju Citizen
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)