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Stadium Background

Busan vs Ansan Greeners - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Marlon
Assist: Kim In-Sung
46'
Sub
Kim J. In: Son J.
Out: Kim J.
46'
Sub
Lee Dong-Su In: Park Hye-seong
Out: Lee Dong-Su

AI Match Summary

Ansan Greeners in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ansan Greeners.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Busan
15%
Draws
36%
Ansan Greeners
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Busan lately — more wins on the board than Ansan Greeners.
  • Model gives Busan a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Busan Clean Sheet 20%
Ansan Greeners Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Ansan Greeners
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.62 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Ansan Greeners
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Busan
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Busan
2:3
Jun 7, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Ansan Greeners
0:2
Apr 20, 2025 K League 2
Ansan Greeners vs Busan
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ansan Greeners Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 49 / 100
Ansan Greeners 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Ansan Greeners

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ansan Greeners's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Busan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Ansan Greeners registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Ansan Greeners
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 6

Ansan Greeners

(Away)
20 Sept
Ansan Greeners
2 : 3
Cheongju
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
28 Aug
Ansan Greeners
1 : 2
Daegu
22 Aug
Ansan Greeners
1 : 2
Seongnam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)