Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup

Busan

4 - 0

Geoje

Our Tip

Match Events

Baek Ga-On

66'

Xavier

90'

Son Hwi

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Busan

15%

Draws

51%

Geoje

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Geoje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Geoje at 1.77 per game, Busan at 1.6.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Busan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%

Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Busan Clean Sheet 68%

Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Busan	Geoje
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	14
Draws	5	3
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.6	1.77
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.7
Expected Goals (xG)	1.73	1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Korean Cup

Busan vs Geoje

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Hwi

2 Goals

Assists Leader Baek Ga-On

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.33

Avg xA / game 0.86

Geoje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.29

Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 41 / 100

Geoje 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Busan Geoje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Geoje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Geoje's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Geoje

1.63 Goals Scored 1.33

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.83

88% Over 1.5 83%

50% Over 2.5 67%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)

19 Sept

Gimpo FC

1 : 0

Busan

13 Sept

Busan

2 : 0

Gimhae

05 Sept

Busan

0 : 1

Ansan Greeners

30 Aug

Suwon FC

2 : 1

Busan

22 Aug

Daegu

1 : 1

Busan

Page 1 of 6

Geoje

(Away)

19 Sept

Jecheon Citizen

0 : 2

Geoje

12 Sept

Seosan Pioneer

0 : 1

Geoje

15 Aug

Geoje

1 : 2

Pocheon

25 Jul

Jincheon

4 : 1

Geoje

15 Jul

Busan

4 : 0

Geoje

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon -

TBD -

Siheung Citizen -

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen -

TBD -

Chuncheon -

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Yangsan United 1

Anseong Citizen 2

TBD -

Mokpo -

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong -

TBD -

Gijang United -

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen -

TBD -

Sejong SA -

Seosan Pioneer -

TBD -

Gyeongju KHNP -

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Yeonsu Songdo 0

Ulsan FC 4

TBD -

Yangpyeong -

Pyeongtaek Citizen -

TBD -

Yeoju Citizen -

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman -

TBD -

Dangjin Citizen -

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju -

TBD -

Seoul Jungnang -

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Cheongju Showking 3

Yangcheon TNT 9

TBD -

Pyeongchang United -

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon -

TBD -

Geumsan Insam -

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail -

TBD -

Pocheon -

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 2

Areum 1

TBD -

Geoje -

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen -

TBD -

Gangneung -

1/64-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon 1

Siheung Citizen 2

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 2

Chuncheon 1

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Anseong Citizen 2

Mokpo 3

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Gijang United 1

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen 2

Sejong SA 1

Seosan Pioneer 0

Gyeongju KHNP 3

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Ulsan FC 1

Yangpyeong 5

Pyeongtaek Citizen 1

Yeoju Citizen 3

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 3

Seoul Jungnang 1

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Yangcheon TNT 1

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 3

Geumsan Insam 0

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail 0

Pocheon 2

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 0

Geoje 4

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen 0

Gangneung 2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam 3

Chungnam Asan 4

Daegu 0

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 4

Seoul E-Land 2

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City 2

Mokpo 1

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Suwon Bluewings 1

Ansan Greeners 0

Jinju Citizen 2

Gyeongju KHNP 0

Cheongju 4

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong 4

Yangpyeong 3

Yeoju Citizen 1

Gyeongnam 0

Yongin FC 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 1

Gimpo FC 2

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC 3

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 1

Gimhae 5

Seongnam 2

Pocheon 1

Busan 4

Geoje 0

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier 3

Gangneung 2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 1

Ulsan Hyundai 0

Gwangju FC 1

Cheonan City 0

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 1

Jinju Citizen 2

Cheongju 1

Anyang 3

Jeju SK 4

Hwaseong 3

Yeoju Citizen 0

Dangjin Citizen 1

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Gimpo FC 1

Incheon 0

Gimcheon Sangmu 2

Suwon FC 1

Gangwon -

TBD -

Gimhae 0

Seongnam 1

Busan 2

Seoul 0

Bucheon FC 1995 3

Paju Frontier 0

1/8-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Daejeon 3

Ulsan Citizen 0

Gwangju FC 1

Pohang 3

Jinju Citizen 1

Anyang 2

Jeju SK 1

Dangjin Citizen 3

Jeonbuk 2

Gimpo FC 2

Gimcheon Sangmu 1

Gangwon 1

Seongnam 0

Busan 0

Bucheon FC 1995 1

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Busan vs Geoje

South Korea

Busan

Geoje

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Busan Compare

Geoje Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

Geoje

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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