Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup

Busan

4 - 0

Geoje

Our Tip

Match Events

Baek Ga-On

66'

Xavier

90'

Son Hwi

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Busan in this Korean Cup matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Busan

Draws

Geoje

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Busan lately — more wins on the board than Geoje.
Win probability leans Busan's way, sitting at 90%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Korean Cup game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Busan Clean Sheet 68%

Geoje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Busan	Geoje
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	15	12
Draws	8	3
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	2.13	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Korean Cup

Busan vs Geoje

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Son Hwi

2 Goals

Assists Leader Baek Ga-On

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Geoje Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 95 / 100

Geoje 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Busan Geoje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Busan stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Geoje conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Geoje

2.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

TBD-

Chuncheon-

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Yangsan United1

Anseong Citizen2

TBD-

Mokpo-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

TBD-

Gijang United-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen-

TBD-

Sejong SA-

Seosan Pioneer-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP-

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Yeonsu Songdo0

Ulsan FC4

TBD-

Yangpyeong-

Pyeongtaek Citizen-

TBD-

Yeoju Citizen-

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman-

TBD-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju-

TBD-

Seoul Jungnang-

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Cheongju Showking3

Yangcheon TNT9

TBD-

Pyeongchang United-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon-

TBD-

Geumsan Insam-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail-

TBD-

Pocheon-

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot2

Areum1

TBD-

Geoje-

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen-

TBD-

Gangneung-

1/64-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon1

Siheung Citizen2

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen2

Chuncheon1

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Anseong Citizen2

Mokpo3

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Gijang United1

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen2

Sejong SA1

Seosan Pioneer0

Gyeongju KHNP3

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Ulsan FC1

Yangpyeong5

Pyeongtaek Citizen1

Yeoju Citizen3

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju3

Seoul Jungnang1

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Yangcheon TNT1

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon3

Geumsan Insam0

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail0

Pocheon2

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot0

Geoje4

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen0

Gangneung2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam3

Chungnam Asan4

Daegu0

Siheung Citizen1

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen4

Seoul E-Land2

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City2

Mokpo1

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Suwon Bluewings1

Ansan Greeners0

Jinju Citizen2

Gyeongju KHNP0

Cheongju4

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong4

Yangpyeong3

Yeoju Citizen1

Gyeongnam0

Yongin FC0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju1

Gimpo FC2

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC3

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon1

Gimhae5

Seongnam2

Pocheon1

Busan4

Geoje0

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier3

Gangneung2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

Cheonan City-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

Jinju Citizen-

Cheongju-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

Hwaseong-

Yeoju Citizen-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Gimpo FC-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

Suwon FC-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

Busan-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

Paju Frontier-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Daejeon-

TBD-

Pohang-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-