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Busan vs Jeonnam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Busan host Jeonnam in the K League 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Jeonnam have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while Busan have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Busan have won 1 to Jeonnam's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.13) point toward Busan. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Busan
30%
Draws
47%
Jeonnam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jeonnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Busan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Busan's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Busan Clean Sheet 20%
Jeonnam Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Jeonnam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 K League 2
Jeonnam vs Busan
3:3
Sep 21, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Jeonnam
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 K League 2
Jeonnam vs Busan
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Jeonnam
0:1
Nov 21, 2024 K League 2
Jeonnam vs Busan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 42 / 100
Jeonnam 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Jeonnam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeonnam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Busan found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Busan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Jeonnam
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
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Jeonnam

(Away)
19 Sept
Jeonnam
0 : 3
Suwon FC
13 Sept
Jeonnam
2 : 2
Gimpo FC
05 Sept
Gimhae
2 : 2
Jeonnam
28 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Cheonan City
23 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Hwaseong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 26 14 9 3 51:29 51
3 Seoul E-Land 27 15 6 6 46:30 51
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 27 12 8 7 41:28 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Cheongju 27 6 14 7 34:42 32
11 Seongnam 26 7 10 9 29:33 31
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)