Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan vs Suwon Bluewings

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Park Hye-seong
45' Event
Kim Do-yeon
Assist: Fessin
46'
Sub
Hong Jeong-Ho In: Han Hyeon-Seo
Out: Hong Jeong-Ho

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Busan and Suwon Bluewings finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwon Bluewings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Busan
20%
Draws
38%
Suwon Bluewings
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suwon Bluewings come out ahead of Busan on wins alone.
  • Busan are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Busan Clean Sheet 20%
Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Suwon Bluewings
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
1:1
May 17, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Hye-seong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Suwon Bluewings Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Do-yeon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilyuchenko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 42 / 100
Suwon Bluewings 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Suwon Bluewings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Suwon Bluewings conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Busan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Suwon Bluewings
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
25 Jul
Busan
1 : 4
Suwon Bluewings
18 Jul
Seongnam
1 : 0
Busan
15 Jul
Busan
4 : 0
Geoje
12 Jul
Busan
2 : 0
Gimpo FC
05 Jul
Jeonnam
3 : 3
Busan
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Suwon Bluewings

(Away)
25 Jul
Busan
1 : 4
Suwon Bluewings
19 Jul
Suwon Bluewings
0 : 0
Paju Frontier
15 Jul
Busan Kyotong
2 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
11 Jul
Ansan Greeners
2 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
04 Jul
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 0
Seongnam
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan18113436:2536
2Suwon Bluewings18113426:1536
3Suwon FC1896338:2433
4Seoul E-Land18103534:2433
5Daegu1895437:2532
6Hwaseong1894529:2131
7Gimpo FC1868421:2026
8Chungnam Asan1866626:2324
9Gyeongnam1866626:2624
10Seongnam1748517:1820
11Cheonan City1847722:2419
12Yongin FC1839621:2718
13Cheongju18212421:2818
14Paju Frontier18531017:2318
15Ansan Greeners18521118:3417
16Jeonnam1827920:3213
17Gimhae17241114:3410
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)