Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan vs Suwon Bluewings

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Park Hye-seong
45' Event
Kim Do-yeon
Assist: Fessin
46'
Sub
Hong Jeong-Ho In: Han Hyeon-Seo
Out: Hong Jeong-Ho

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Busan and Suwon Bluewings finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwon Bluewings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Busan
20%
Draws
61%
Suwon Bluewings
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwon Bluewings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suwon Bluewings come out ahead of Busan on wins alone.
  • Suwon Bluewings are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Busan Clean Sheet 13%
Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Suwon Bluewings
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
1:1
May 17, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Hye-seong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Suwon Bluewings Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Do-yeon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ilyuchenko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 10 / 100
Suwon Bluewings 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Suwon Bluewings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwon Bluewings Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Suwon Bluewings conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Busan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Suwon Bluewings
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
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Suwon Bluewings

(Away)
12 Sept
Seoul E-Land
0 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
06 Sept
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 0
Chungnam Asan
29 Aug
Gimpo FC
1 : 4
Suwon Bluewings
22 Aug
Cheonan City
0 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
15 Aug
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 2
Suwon FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)