Sport Picks
Busko-Zdroj vs Moravia Morawica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
19'
19'
Pokora M.
86'
86'
Jas M.
89'
89'
Verbytskyi A.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Busko-Zdroj and Moravia Morawica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Busko-Zdroj.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busko-Zdroj
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Busko-Zdroj come out ahead of Moravia Morawica on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Busko-Zdroj's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 20%
Moravia Morawica Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Busko-Zdroj | Moravia Morawica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 17 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.15 | 2.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Busko-Zdroj vs Moravia Morawica
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Busko-Zdroj Compare
Top Goalscorer Pokora M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Czajkowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Moravia Morawica Compare
Top Goalscorer Verbytskyi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Busko-Zdroj 58 / 100
Moravia Morawica 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Busko-Zdroj Moravia Morawica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Busko-Zdroj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Busko-Zdroj scored in 85% of their last 20 outings.
Moravia Morawica has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Busko-Zdroj went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Busko-Zdroj VS Moravia Morawica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Busko-Zdroj
(Home) 04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0 Wisla II
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
06 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 4
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0 Wisla II
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
06 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
15 Aug
Busko-Zdroj
1 : 4 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
02 Aug
Busko-Zdroj
1 : 1 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 3
Moravia Morawica
(Away) 03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2 Moravia Morawica
27 Sept
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Jaroslaw
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 4
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2 Moravia Morawica
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1 Moravia Morawica
22 Aug
Wisla II
1 : 0 Moravia Morawica
08 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 2 Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Wislanie Skawina | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 27:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 10 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 11 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
