Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2015/2016

Bustelo

Sun, Sep 27, 2015

2 - 3

02:00 PM

SC Vianense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with SC Vianense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Bustelo

15%

Draws

46%

SC Vianense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Vianense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and SC Vianense come out ahead of Bustelo on wins alone.
39% — that's where the model lands on Bustelo taking it.
SC Vianense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor SC Vianense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Bustelo Clean Sheet 10%

SC Vianense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bustelo	SC Vianense
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	7	16
Draws	6	4
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	1	1.89
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.11
Expected Goals (xG)	0.85	1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2015 Taça de Portugal

Bustelo vs SC Vianense

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bustelo 38 / 100

SC Vianense 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bustelo SC Vianense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: SC Vianense conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Bustelo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Bustelo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Vianense

0 Goals Scored 2.88

0 Goals Conceded 0.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bustelo

(Home)

29 Sept

Beira Mar

2 : 0

Bustelo

07 Sept

Manteigas

1 : 3

Bustelo

15 May

Bustelo

1 : 0

Gafanha

08 May

Sanjoanense

2 : 0

Bustelo

30 Apr

Bustelo

2 : 3

Lusitania FC

Page 1 of 6

SC Vianense

(Away)

23 Aug

AD Marco 09

2 : 0

SC Vianense

15 Aug

SC Vianense

2 : 0

Trofense

09 Aug

AD Fafe

0 : 0

SC Vianense

29 Jul

AFS

3 : 0

SC Vianense

31 May

SC Vianense

2 : 0

Rebordosa

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 3

Oliveira do Douro 4

TBD -

Tondela -

Leiria e Marrazes -

TBD -

SC Mirandela 2

Mondinense 3

Sao Martinho 2

Aroes 0

Amiense -

TBD -

BSAD -

TBD -

Almancilense -

TBD -

Olhanense -

FC Pampilhosa 7

AD Estacao 0

TBD -

Mafra -

Amiense 0

SB Castelo Branco 9

TBD -

Portimonense -

Aves -

TBD -

AD Limianos -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense 4

CF Os Gavionenses 0

AD Pontassolense 0

Minas de Argozelo 4

TBD -

U. Madeira -

Cova De Piedade 1

Torreense 0

Moncarapachense 0

Lusitano VRSA 2

Covilha -

TBD -

Electrico FC 1

Alcanenense 2

Mosteirense -

TBD -

Vigor Mocidade 0

Sporting Ideal 3

TBD -

Nacional -

Boavista -

TBD -

FC Crato 2

Vitoria Sernache 1

GD Alcochetense 0

GS Loures 1

SC Salgueiros 1

Cinfaes 0

Fayal 1

Aguias do Moradal 6

FC Amares 4

Aguia Vimioso 3

Alcains 0

Operario 1

Trofense 1

Sobrado 0

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Pedras Rubras 1

AD Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Sanjoanense 4

Sousense 1

Mosteirense 1

1º Dezembro 4

TBD -

Academica -

Feirense -

TBD -

SC Sabugal -

Castrense 2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0

TBD -

Famalicao -

SC Praiense 7

Mira Mar 0

Vitorino de Piaes 0

CDC Montalegre 1

Sacavenense 2

Redondense 0

FC Barreirense 2

Malveira 5

SC Angrense 2

Academica Coimbra SF 1

Almancilense 0

Moura AC 1

Vitorino de Piaes -

TBD -

Sao Roque 0

Torre De Moncorvo 2

Varzim -

TBD -

GD Uniao Torcatense 3

Maria de Fonte 4

TBD -

FC Porto -

Braga -

TBD -

Agueda 4

Trancoso 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Rio Tinto 3

Regua 1

Penalva do Castelo 2

Mortagua FC 3

Oliveira Hospital 2

GD Tourizense 1

TBD -

SC Farense -

Benfica -

TBD -

Bustelo -

TBD -

Neves 0

SC Vianense 1

Vilafranquense -

TBD -

Manteigas -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Amarante FC 3

SC Vila Real 2

TBD -

Sao Roque -

Lusitano FCV 2

Gafanha 0

Vilaverdense FC 1

GD Braganca 2

Lusitania FC 1

Bustelo 0

Carregal do Sal 2

Estarreja 5

TBD -

Maritimo -

Chaves -

TBD -

Tomar 0

Leiria 7

Freamunde -

TBD -

Juv. Evora 0

Louletano 5

Leixoes -

TBD -

Atletico SC 0

Pinhalnovense 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Camacha 2

Pedras Salgadas 1

CD Rabo Peixe 1

Uniao 4

Naval 3

Nogueirense 1

Praia Milfontes 2

Viana Alentejo 3

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Casa Pia 1

Vilafranquense 3

Leiria e Marrazes 0

Alcobaca 1

Real SC 3

Sintrense 1

TBD -

Oriental -

GD Coruchense 2

Povoense 1

TBD -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Amora 1

Lagoa 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Manteigas 0

Oliveira de Frades 4

Gafanha -

TBD -

Vizela 0

AD Fafe 1

Caldas SC 2

GD Peniche 1

FC Felgueiras 0

Tirsense 1

GD Alcochetense -

TBD -

AD Limianos 0

Atletico Arcos 1

Gondomar 2

Coimbroes 1

SC Sabugal 3

Anadia 5

TBD -

Estoril -

1/64-finals

Gil Vicente 5

Oliveira do Douro 3

TBD -

Tondela -

Leiria e Marrazes 3

Mondinense 2

Sao Martinho 0

SB Castelo Branco 1

BSAD -

TBD -

Almancilense 0

Olhanense 2

FC Pampilhosa 1

Mafra 0

Amiense 0

Portimonense 1

Aves 1

AD Limianos 0

TBD -

Moreirense -

Sertanense 3

Minas de Argozelo 1

TBD -

U. Madeira -

Cova De Piedade 2

Lusitano VRSA 1

Covilha 2

Alcanenense 3

Mosteirense 2

Sporting Ideal 0

TBD -

Nacional -

Boavista -

TBD -

FC Crato 0

GS Loures 2

SC Salgueiros 2

Aguias do Moradal 1

FC Amares 1

Operario 2

Trofense 3

Atletico CP 2

Pedras Rubras 0

Santa Clara 1

Sanjoanense 3

1º Dezembro 2

TBD -

Academica -

Feirense 2

SC Sabugal 0

Castrense 0

Famalicao 5

SC Praiense 4

CDC Montalegre 0

Sacavenense 0

Malveira 3

SC Angrense 2

Moura AC 1

Vitorino de Piaes 0

Torre De Moncorvo 1

Varzim 2

Maria de Fonte 0

TBD -

FC Porto -

Braga -

TBD -

Agueda 0

Academico Viseu 2

Rio Tinto 2

Mortagua FC 1

Oliveira Hospital 3

SC Farense 4

Benfica -

TBD -

Bustelo 2

SC Vianense 3

Vilafranquense 8

Manteigas 1

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Amarante FC 8

Sao Roque 0

Lusitano FCV 1

GD Braganca 4

Lusitania FC 2

Estarreja 1

TBD -

Maritimo -

Chaves 1

Leiria 0

Freamunde 1

Louletano 2

Leixoes 2

Pinhalnovense 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Camacha 1

Uniao 3

Naval 2

Viana Alentejo 1

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

Casa Pia 5

Alcobaca 0

Real SC 1

Oriental 3

GD Coruchense 1

Oliveirense 0

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Penafiel 3

Lagoa 0

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Coimbroes 1

Oliveira de Frades 0

Gafanha 1

AD Fafe 2

Caldas SC 2

Tirsense 1

GD Alcochetense 0

Atletico Arcos 2

Gondomar 3

Anadia 1

TBD -

Estoril -

1/32-finals

Gil Vicente 2

Tondela 1

Leiria e Marrazes 1

SB Castelo Branco 5

BSAD 1

Olhanense 0

FC Pampilhosa 0

Portimonense 5

Aves 3

Moreirense 2

Sertanense 1

U. Madeira 5

Cova De Piedade 4

Alcanenense 3

Mosteirense 0

Nacional 6

Boavista 2

GS Loures 1

SC Salgueiros 0

Operario 1

Trofense 1

Santa Clara 0

Sanjoanense 1

Academica 5

Feirense 2

Famalicao 1

SC Praiense 0

Malveira 3

SC Angrense 4

Torre De Moncorvo 1

Varzim 0

FC Porto 2

Braga 3

Academico Viseu 0

Rio Tinto 0

SC Farense 1

Benfica 2

SC Vianense 1

Vilafranquense 0

Sporting CP 4

Amarante FC 3

GD Braganca 2

Lusitania FC 0

Maritimo 2

Chaves 5

Louletano 0

Leixoes 1

Arouca 2

Rio Ave 3

Uniao 0

Naval 1

Pacos Ferreira 7

Casa Pia 3

Oriental 1

GD Coruchense 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Penafiel 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Coimbroes 2

AD Fafe 3

Caldas SC 3

Atletico Arcos 0

Gondomar 0

Estoril 1

1/16-finals

Gil Vicente 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

BSAD 2

Portimonense 3

Aves 4

U. Madeira 3

Cova De Piedade 0

Nacional 5

Boavista 1

Operario 0

Trofense 0

Academica 1

Feirense 1

Malveira 0

SC Angrense 0

FC Porto 2

Braga 1

SC Farense 0

Benfica 1

Sporting CP 2

Amarante FC 1

Maritimo 0

Chaves 0

Arouca 1

Rio Ave 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Casa Pia 0

Vitoria Setubal 1

Penafiel 2

AD Fafe 1

Caldas SC 0

Estoril 1

1/8-finals

Gil Vicente 2

Portimonense 1

Aves 2

Nacional 3

Boavista 1

Academica 0

Feirense 0

FC Porto 1

Braga 4

Sporting CP 3

Amarante FC 1

Arouca 2

Rio Ave 2

Vitoria Setubal 1

Penafiel 0

Estoril 1

Quarter-finals

Gil Vicente 1

Nacional 0

Boavista 0

FC Porto 1

Braga 2

Arouca 0

Rio Ave 3

Estoril 0

Semi-finals

Gil Vicente 0

FC Porto 5

Braga 1

Rio Ave 0

Final

FC Porto 2

Braga 3

Bustelo vs SC Vianense

Portugal

Bustelo

SC Vianense

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Bustelo

SC Vianense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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