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Bustelo vs Tocha

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

3 - 3
FT
Tocha Logo

Tocha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Second Division - Zona Centro matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bustelo
15%
Draws
28%
Tocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bustelo have won more games recently than Tocha.
  • Model gives Bustelo a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 15%
Tocha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bustelo Tocha
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.06 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.61 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
Bustelo vs Tocha
3:3
Nov 4, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha vs Bustelo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bustelo 66 / 100
Tocha 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bustelo Tocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Tocha registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bustelo scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bustelo VS Tocha
0.63 Goals Scored 1.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Bustelo

(Home)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
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Tocha

(Away)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 30 16 10 4 47:21 58
2 Cinfaes 30 14 11 5 50:31 53
3 Operario 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 SC Espinho 30 13 9 8 36:32 48
5 SB Castelo Branco 30 12 10 8 44:33 46
6 FC Pampilhosa 30 13 7 10 42:38 46
7 Sousense 30 10 11 9 37:34 41
8 Anadia 30 12 4 14 31:38 40
9 Sao Joao de Ver 30 11 7 12 35:39 40
10 Coimbroes 30 8 13 9 35:41 37
11 Nogueirense 30 9 9 12 34:39 36
12 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 27:31 35
13 FC Cesarense 30 8 10 12 28:35 34
14 Bustelo 30 6 13 11 32:41 31
15 SC Lusitania 30 6 11 13 38:50 29
16 Tocha 30 3 11 16 24:48 20
Promotion - Segunda Liga 2013/2014 (Main)