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Stadium Background

Butrinti Sarande vs Apolonia Fier

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Zoga K.

AI Match Summary

Apolonia Fier in this First Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Apolonia Fier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Butrinti Sarande
28%
Draws
50%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Apolonia Fier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Apolonia Fier average 0.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Butrinti Sarande's 0.
  • Win probability leans Apolonia Fier's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular First Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Apolonia Fier here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 19%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Butrinti Sarande Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Apolonia Fier
0:1
Oct 23, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Butrinti Sarande
1:0
Apr 6, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Apolonia Fier
0:0
Dec 19, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Butrinti Sarande
4:0
Oct 3, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Apolonia Fier
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Zoga K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Butrinti Sarande 24 / 100
Apolonia Fier 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Butrinti Sarande Apolonia Fier

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Butrinti Sarande scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Apolonia Fier conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Apolonia Fier registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Butrinti Sarande VS Apolonia Fier
0 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bylis30223551:1869
2Erzeni Shijak30214557:1867
3Korabi Peshkopi30178535:2259
4Apolonia Fier301631144:2551
5Terbuni Puka301211721:1647
6Tomori Berat301281045:3144
7Lushnja301012831:2742
8Burreli301011930:2441
9Besa Kavaje301241436:4040
10Beselidhja Lezha301231545:5439
11Pogradeci301081232:3738
12Turbina Cerrik301141531:4437
13Butrinti Sarande30971432:3634
14Maliqi30651932:6223
15Vora30561932:5421
16Shkumbini Peqin30532230:7618