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BuxDu vs Metallurg Bekabad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
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Match Events

30' Event
Saidnurullaev S.
60' Event
Shoahmedov S.
71' Event
Milickovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between BuxDu and Metallurg Bekabad finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
BuxDu
15%
Draws
85%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • BuxDu haven't matched Metallurg Bekabad's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Metallurg Bekabad taking it.
  • Regular Pro Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
BuxDu Clean Sheet 10%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BuxDu Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 3 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.57 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Pro Liga
BuxDu vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:4
Apr 20, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs BuxDu
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BuxDu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Saidnurullaev S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shoahmedov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BuxDu 10 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BuxDu Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

BuxDu scored in 62% of their last 21 games.

Metallurg Bekabad has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

BuxDu VS Metallurg Bekabad
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BuxDu

(Home)
07 Oct
BuxDu
2 : 6
FC Lochin
22 Sept
FarDU
3 : 1
BuxDu
17 Sept
BuxDu
1 : 2
Respublika FA
13 Sept
BuxDu
0 : 2
Kattaqurgon
06 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 1
BuxDu
Page 1 of 5

Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
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