Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Buxoro play Neftchi Fargona in the Super League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Buxoro averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Neftchi Fargona averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. In past meetings, Buxoro won 0, Neftchi Fargona won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 7, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Buxoro and 1.63 for Neftchi Fargona. This points to a Neftchi Fargona double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Buxoro picked up more points recently compared to Neftchi Fargona.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxoro | Neftchi Fargona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 24 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buxoro Compare
Neftchi Fargona Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buxoro scored in 73% of their last 33 games.
Neftchi Fargona let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Buxoro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Neftchi Fargona lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 49:24 | 64 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Nasaf Qarshi | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 51:23 | 59 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 47:30 | 58 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48:40 | 49 |
| 6 | OKMK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 44:34 | 48 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 41:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Sogdiana | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 37:37 | 37 |
| 9 | Qizilqum | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 28:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Termez Surkhon | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:30 | 35 |
| 11 | Andijan | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 39:51 | 35 |
| 12 | Kokand 1912 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 24:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mashal Muborak | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:48 | 30 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30:49 | 27 |
| 15 | Xorazm Urganch | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 33:39 | 27 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 27:57 | 17 |