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Buxoro vs Qizilqum Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ruziev J.
46'
Sub
Shukurov A. In: Turopov S.
Out: Shukurov A.
47'
Ruziev J.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Buxoro and Qizilqum finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Buxoro
15%
Draws
59%
Qizilqum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qizilqum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Qizilqum have managed 1.21 goals a game lately — Buxoro are scoring more at 1.24.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 15%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxoro Qizilqum
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Buxoro
3:2
Apr 9, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Qizilqum
2:0
Aug 8, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Buxoro
1:0
Mar 14, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Qizilqum
2:0
Aug 5, 2023 Super League
Buxoro vs Qizilqum
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruziev J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodic V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Qizilqum Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxoro 31 / 100
Qizilqum 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxoro Qizilqum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxoro's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Qizilqum has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Buxoro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Buxoro VS Qizilqum
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxoro

(Home)
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1
Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6

Qizilqum

(Away)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1
Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)