Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Mamasidikov T.
46'
46'
Sub
Saidov A. In: Jaloliddinov J.
Out: Saidov A.
46'
46'
Sub
Soyibov N. In: Erkinov S.
Out: Soyibov N.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Buxoro and Sogdiana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxoro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sogdiana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Buxoro come out ahead of Sogdiana on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxoro | Sogdiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Sogdiana
2:1
Oct 23, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Sogdiana
2:0
Sep 25, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Buxoro vs Sogdiana
3:2
May 24, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Buxoro
1:1
Nov 4, 2023 Super League
Sogdiana vs Buxoro
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buxoro Compare
Top Goalscorer Mamasidikov T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Esanov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Sogdiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaloliddinov J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buxoro 41 / 100
Sogdiana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buxoro Sogdiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buxoro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buxoro scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Sogdiana has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Buxoro went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Buxoro VS Sogdiana
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Buxoro
(Home) 24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0 OKMK
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0 OKMK
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
21 Jul
Buxoro
1 : 0 Bunyodkor
02 May
Buxoro
2 : 1 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 3
Sogdiana
(Away) 23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1 Qizilqum
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
06 Aug
Sogdiana
1 : 0 Andijan
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
27 Jul
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 1 Sogdiana
02 May
Buxoro
2 : 1 Sogdiana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45:10 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 30:17 | 39 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28:25 | 28 |
| 6 | OKMK | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:29 | 25 |
| 9 | Andijan | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23:20 | 24 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 32:39 | 24 |
| 11 | Xorazm Urganch | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 17:27 | 20 |
| 12 | Qizilqum | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16:26 | 20 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19:27 | 19 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | 19 |
| 15 | Termez Surkhon | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16:26 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8:32 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
