Sport Picks
Buxoro vs Xorazm Urganch Prediction & H2H Stats
Uzbekistan
Super League Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara 
Match Events
7'
7'
Ubaydullaev S.
36'
36'
Rodic V.
49'
49'
Akhrorov A.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Buxoro and Xorazm Urganch finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxoro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Buxoro come out ahead of Xorazm Urganch on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Buxoro's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxoro | Xorazm Urganch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Xorazm Urganch
1:1
Dec 10, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Xorazm Urganch
1:2
Aug 13, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Xorazm Urganch
1:1
Mar 27, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Buxoro
1:4
Oct 24, 2024 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Buxoro
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buxoro Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodic V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Xorazm Urganch Compare
Top Goalscorer Akhrorov A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buxoro 59 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buxoro Xorazm Urganch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buxoro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Buxoro scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Xorazm Urganch conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Difficult form: Xorazm Urganch registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Buxoro VS Xorazm Urganch
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Buxoro
(Home) 19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0 OKMK
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1 Lok. Tashkent
21 Jul
Buxoro
1 : 0 Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 3
Xorazm Urganch
(Away) 21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3 Qizilqum
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Andijan
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
02 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
5 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
