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Buxton vs Braga

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Buxton and Braga finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Braga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Buxton
15%
Draws
39%
Braga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Buxton come out ahead of Braga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Buxton a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Buxton Clean Sheet 18%
Braga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Braga
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 16
Draws 2 9
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 2 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Buxton vs Braga
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 49 / 100
Braga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Braga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxton found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Buxton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Braga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Braga
2 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
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Braga

(Away)
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2
Braga
31 Aug
Braga
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes
27 Aug
Austria Vienna
0 : 0
Braga
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