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Buxton vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buxton host Harborough in the National League North. This one's hard to separate. Buxton have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Harborough's 1.71 scored and 1.11 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.19 - 1.31) back Harborough to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Buxton
15%
Draws
64%
Harborough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Buxton have won more games recently than Harborough.
  • Model gives Harborough a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Buxton Clean Sheet 18%
Harborough Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Harborough
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.83 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 10 / 100
Harborough 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Harborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harborough Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxton found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Harborough has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Buxton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Harborough has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Harborough
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
17 Oct
Buxton
2 : 2
Worksop
10 Oct
King’s Lynn
1 : 0
Buxton
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
03 Oct
Harborough
3 : 2
St. Albans
26 Sept
Macclesfield
1 : 0
Harborough
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)