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Buxton vs Hebburn Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Charles J.
24' Event
Tuntulwana S.
66' Event
Charles J.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Buxton and Hebburn Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hebburn Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Buxton
30%
Draws
23%
Hebburn Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Buxton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Buxton are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Buxton Clean Sheet 17%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Hebburn Town
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.85 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Hebburn Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuntulwana S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Hebburn Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 75 / 100
Hebburn Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Hebburn Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxton found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Hebburn Town has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Hebburn Town has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Hebburn Town
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
24 Oct
Chorley
2 : 3
Buxton
17 Oct
Buxton
2 : 2
Worksop
10 Oct
King’s Lynn
1 : 0
Buxton
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
Page 1 of 6

Hebburn Town

(Away)
24 Oct
Telford
2 : 2
Hebburn Town
17 Oct
Hebburn Town
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
10 Oct
Hebburn Town
0 : 3
Oxford City
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 4
Guiseley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 12 8 2 2 24:7 26
2 Oxford City 12 7 3 2 22:8 24
3 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
4 South Shields 12 7 2 3 21:18 23
5 King’s Lynn 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
6 Hednesford 13 6 3 4 23:19 21
7 Chester 12 6 2 4 15:12 20
8 Buxton 13 6 2 5 23:23 20
9 Bedford 12 6 1 5 16:16 19
10 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
11 Morecambe 12 5 2 5 18:12 17
12 Spalding United 12 5 2 5 14:11 17
13 Chorley 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Worksop 13 5 2 6 15:20 17
15 Marine 12 5 1 6 14:13 16
16 Harborough 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
17 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
18 Merthyr Town 13 3 6 4 15:16 15
19 Radcliffe 13 5 0 8 16:21 15
20 Brackley 13 4 3 6 15:24 15
21 Telford 13 3 4 6 13:20 13
22 Darlington FC 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 12 1 4 7 12:26 7
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