Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Kirby C.
37'
37'
Trueman W.
45'
45'
Brogan M.
AI Match Summary
Buxton in this National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leamington haven't matched Buxton's recent run of results.
- Buxton are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Buxton here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Buxton Clean Sheet 68%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxton | Leamington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Leamington
4:1
Mar 17, 2026 National League North
Leamington vs Buxton
0:1
Feb 18, 2025 National League North
Leamington vs Buxton
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Leamington
2:1
Feb 14, 2023 National League North
Leamington vs Buxton
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buxton Compare
Top Goalscorer Kirby C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Trueman W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Leamington Compare
Top Goalscorer Brogan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buxton 77 / 100
Leamington 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buxton Leamington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BUX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Buxton found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Leamington conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Buxton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Buxton VS Leamington
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Buxton
(Home) 08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Hereford
01 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 2 Buxton
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
10 Jul
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
07 Jul
Buxton
1 : 3 Braga
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Hereford
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
10 Jul
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
07 Jul
Buxton
1 : 3 Braga
28 Apr
Buxton
4 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Leamington
(Away) 11 Aug
Leamington
1 : 1 Anstey Nomads
08 Aug
Real Bedford
4 : 2 Leamington
01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1 Yate
17 Jul
Leamington
2 : 3 Coventry U21
14 Jul
Leamington
2 : 2 Brackley
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Real Bedford
4 : 2 Leamington
07 Jul
Sutton Coldfield Town
1 : 3 Leamington
25 Apr
Buxton
4 : 1 Leamington
11 Apr
Southport
1 : 2 Leamington
03 Apr
Bedford
3 : 1 Leamington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
