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Buxton vs Marine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buxton host Marine in the National League North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Buxton at 1.81 goals for, 1.41 against; Marine at 1.43 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Buxton slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Buxton. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Buxton
15%
Draws
67%
Marine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Marine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Marine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Buxton Clean Sheet 16%
Marine Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Marine
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Marine
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 FA Cup
Marine vs Buxton
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 National League North
Marine vs Buxton
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 National League North
Marine vs Buxton
1:4
Aug 26, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Marine
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 15 / 100
Marine 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Marine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buxton scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Marine has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Buxton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Marine
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
17 Oct
Buxton
2 : 2
Worksop
10 Oct
King’s Lynn
1 : 0
Buxton
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Marine

(Away)
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2
Marine
10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0
Spalding United
03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0
Warrington Town
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Marine
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2
Radcliffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 King’s Lynn 12 6 2 4 22:16 20
5 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
6 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
7 Hednesford 12 5 3 4 21:19 18
8 Hebburn Town 12 5 3 4 16:21 18
9 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
10 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
11 Buxton 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
12 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
13 Worksop 12 5 1 6 14:19 16
14 Scarborough Athletic 12 4 3 5 18:16 15
15 Merthyr Town 12 3 6 3 14:13 15
16 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
17 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
18 Brackley 12 4 3 5 15:23 15
19 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
20 Radcliffe 12 4 0 8 15:21 12
21 Telford 12 3 3 6 11:18 12
22 Southport 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
23 Darlington FC 12 2 2 8 14:24 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)