Sport Picks
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
England
National League North 2025/2026 
Match Events
32'
32'
Brennan L.
65'
65'
Johnston J.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Buxton and Scarborough Athletic finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Buxton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Scarborough Athletic haven't matched Buxton's recent run of results.
- Buxton are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Buxton here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Buxton Clean Sheet 16%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Buxton | Scarborough Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
2:0
Sep 2, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
0:3
Nov 5, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Buxton Compare
Top Goalscorer Brennan L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Johnston J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Scarborough Athletic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Buxton 36 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Buxton Scarborough Athletic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Buxton scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Scarborough Athletic let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Buxton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Buxton VS Scarborough Athletic
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Buxton
(Home) 26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0 Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0 Buxton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0 Brackley
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
Buxton
1 : 2 Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 3
Scarborough Athletic
(Away) 26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 Telford
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0 Scarborough Athletic
31 Aug
King’s Lynn
3 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
22 Aug
Chorley
2 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
