Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Buxton Logo

Buxton

4 - 2
FT
Scarborough Athletic Logo

Scarborough Athletic

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Coleman C.
66' Event
Brennan L.
67' Event
Walker S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Buxton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Buxton
20%
Draws
24%
Scarborough Athletic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Buxton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Buxton's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Buxton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Buxton, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buxton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Buxton Clean Sheet 13%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Scarborough Athletic
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
2:0
Sep 2, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
0:3
Nov 5, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxton Compare

Top Goalscorer Coleman C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brennan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Scarborough Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Green H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 75 / 100
Scarborough Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Scarborough Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buxton scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Scarborough Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Buxton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Scarborough Athletic
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
05 Sept
Morecambe
4 : 0
Buxton
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

Scarborough Athletic

(Away)
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0
Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1
Telford
31 Aug
King’s Lynn
3 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
South Shields -
TBD -
Buxton 4
Scarborough Athletic 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Macclesfield 2
Chester 1
Semi-finals
South Shields 1
Buxton 0
Kidderminster 3
Macclesfield 1
Final
South Shields 0
Kidderminster 2