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Buzios vs Barcelona EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
de Figueiredo P.
18' Event
Marconato D.
68' Event
Marques C.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C 2025 game between Buzios and Barcelona EC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buzios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Buzios
15%
Draws
64%
Barcelona EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Buzios carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Buzios are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Buzios Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buzios Barcelona EC
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 11 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.48 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 0.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Carioca C
Barcelona EC vs Buzios
0:7
Jun 8, 2025 Carioca C
Buzios vs Barcelona EC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer Marconato D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marques C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 1.04

Barcelona EC Compare

Top Goalscorer de Figueiredo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buzios 42 / 100
Barcelona EC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buzios Barcelona EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Buzios found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Barcelona EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

Buzios went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buzios VS Barcelona EC
2.38 Goals Scored 0.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Buzios

(Home)
01 Oct
Buzios
3 : 2
Paraty
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
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Barcelona EC

(Away)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)