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Buzios vs Mageense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Buzios Logo

Buzios

1 - 1
FT
Mageense Logo

Mageense

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
de Souza G.
54' Event
Flausino Y.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Buzios
15%
Draws
85%
Mageense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mageense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mageense haven't matched Buzios's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Buzios Clean Sheet 26%
Mageense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buzios Mageense
Matches Played 27 20
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Mageense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buzios Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62

Mageense Compare

Top Goalscorer de Souza G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buzios 38 / 100
Mageense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buzios Mageense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mageense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mageense conceded in 94% of 18 recent games.

Buzios scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Mageense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buzios VS Mageense
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.6
75% Over 1.5 20%
38% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Buzios

(Home)
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Mageense

(Away)
12 Jul
Mageense
:
EC Vera Cruz
06 Jul
EC Vera Cruz
:
Mageense
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
01 Jun
Mageense
0 : 4
Rio Barra
24 May
Buzios
1 : 1
Mageense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)