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Bytom Odrzanski vs Polonia Nysa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Drzazga K.
56' Event
Drzazga K.
59' Event
Cyrek M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Bytom Odrzanski and Polonia Nysa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bytom Odrzanski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bytom Odrzanski
20%
Draws
34%
Polonia Nysa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bytom Odrzanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bytom Odrzanski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Bytom Odrzanski taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bytom Odrzanski Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bytom Odrzanski Polonia Nysa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Polonia Nysa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bytom Odrzanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Drzazga K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cyrek M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Polonia Nysa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bytom Odrzanski 40 / 100
Polonia Nysa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bytom Odrzanski Polonia Nysa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bytom Odrzanski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bytom Odrzanski found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Polonia Nysa conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bytom Odrzanski has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bytom Odrzanski VS Polonia Nysa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
25% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bytom Odrzanski

(Home)
10 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 1
Zaglebie II
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 0
Barycz Sulow
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Nysa

(Away)
10 Oct
Warta Gorzow
0 : 1
Polonia Nysa
02 Oct
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Legnica II
26 Sept
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Polonia Nysa
18 Sept
Polonia Nysa
0 : 2
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)