Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rybicki K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Bytom Odrzanski and Warta Gorzow finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Gorzow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bytom Odrzanski
35%
Draws
24%
Warta Gorzow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bytom Odrzanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Bytom Odrzanski's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Warta Gorzow have produced (1.1).
  • Model gives Bytom Odrzanski a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bytom Odrzanski Clean Sheet 20%
Warta Gorzow Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bytom Odrzanski Warta Gorzow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow
0:1
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Bytom Odrzanski
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Warta Gorzow
4:1
Aug 20, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Warta Gorzow vs Bytom Odrzanski
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bytom Odrzanski Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Warta Gorzow Compare

Top Goalscorer Rybicki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bytom Odrzanski 49 / 100
Warta Gorzow 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bytom Odrzanski Warta Gorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bytom Odrzanski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bytom Odrzanski found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Warta Gorzow has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bytom Odrzanski stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bytom Odrzanski VS Warta Gorzow
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bytom Odrzanski

(Home)
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 0
Barycz Sulow
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
05 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
3 : 2
ROW Rybnik
Page 1 of 6

Warta Gorzow

(Away)
03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Sleza Wroclaw
19 Sept
Goczalkowice Zdroj
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)