Sport Picks

Poland

Division 2 2020/2021 MOSiR

Pogon Siedlce

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bytovia Bytow play Pogon Siedlce in the Division 2 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bytovia Bytow averaged 1.35 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. Pogon Siedlce averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Bytovia Bytow won 1, Pogon Siedlce won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 12, 2021 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Bytovia Bytow and 0.93 for Pogon Siedlce. This points to a Bytovia Bytow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Bytovia Bytow

20%

Draws

39%

Pogon Siedlce

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bytovia Bytow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Bytovia Bytow picked up more points recently compared to Pogon Siedlce.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Bytovia Bytow Clean Sheet 24%

Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bytovia Bytow	Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	8	6
Draws	6	6
Losses	17	16
Goals Scored	1.35	0.96
Goals Conceded	2.23	1.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 Division 2

Bytovia Bytow vs Pogon Siedlce

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

4:3

Feb 27, 2021 Division 2

Pogon Siedlce vs Bytovia Bytow

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Jun 13, 2020 Division 2

Pogon Siedlce vs Bytovia Bytow

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Sep 7, 2019 Division 2

Bytovia Bytow vs Pogon Siedlce

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

1:3

Mar 31, 2018 Division 1

Pogon Siedlce vs Bytovia Bytow

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bytovia Bytow Compare

Top Goalscorer Bach J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sezonienko K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Baidoo I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Tadrowski J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bytovia Bytow 42 / 100

Pogon Siedlce 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bytovia Bytow Pogon Siedlce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bytovia Bytow or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bytovia Bytow attacking → ← attacking Pogon Siedlce

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bytovia Bytow scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Pogon Siedlce let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bytovia Bytow went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Siedlce lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 24

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polkowice	36	22	10	4	70:29	76
2	GKS Katowice	36	22	4	10	67:41	70
3	Chojniczanka	36	19	10	7	63:34	67
4	Suwalki	36	18	10	8	51:35	64
5	KKS Kalisz	36	17	6	13	51:40	57
6	Skra Czestochowa	36	15	7	14	51:42	52
7	Garbarnia	36	14	10	12	49:50	52
8	Slask Wroclaw II	36	15	7	14	61:57	52
9	Motor Lublin	36	12	14	10	48:44	50
10	S. Rzeszow	36	14	8	14	58:60	50
11	Sokol Ostroda	36	14	4	18	50:56	46
12	Hutnik Krakow	36	13	6	17	47:61	45
13	Pogon Siedlce	36	12	9	15	61:62	42
14	Lech Poznan II	36	11	7	18	47:58	40
15	Pruszkow	36	10	8	18	37:55	38
16	Olimpia Elblag	36	9	10	17	39:52	37
17	Ol. Grudziadz	36	10	6	20	42:67	36
18	Blekitni Stargard	36	8	12	16	36:66	36
19	Bytovia Bytow	36	8	10	18	46:65	34