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BYU Cougars vs Ogden

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2009
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AI Match Summary

Ogden in this USL Premier Development League 2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ogden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
BYU Cougars
20%
Draws
40%
Ogden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BYU Cougars lately — more wins on the board than Ogden.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
BYU Cougars Clean Sheet 20%
Ogden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BYU Cougars Ogden
Matches Played 44 37
Wins 13 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1.3 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2012 USL League Two
BYU Cougars vs Ogden
3:1
Jun 10, 2012 USL League Two
Ogden vs BYU Cougars
3:2
Jul 17, 2011 USL League Two
Ogden vs BYU Cougars
2:1
Jul 3, 2011 USL League Two
BYU Cougars vs Ogden
1:1
May 29, 2011 USL League Two
Ogden vs BYU Cougars
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BYU Cougars 32 / 100
Ogden 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BYU Cougars Ogden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ogden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ogden conceded in 81% of 37 recent games.

BYU Cougars's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ogden's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

BYU Cougars VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BYU Cougars

(Home)
13 Jul
BYU Cougars
1 : 4
Tucson
12 Jul
BYU Cougars
1 : 2
Tucson
08 Jul
Boulder County United
4 : 1
BYU Cougars
06 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
3 : 1
BYU Cougars
02 Jul
BYU Cougars
2 : 2
Colorado Rapids 2
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Ogden

(Away)
09 Jul
Tucson
0 : 0
Ogden
05 Jul
BYU Cougars
3 : 1
Ogden
01 Jul
Fresno FC 2
2 : 1
Ogden
30 Jun
La Laguna
3 : 1
Ogden
24 Jun
Ogden
2 : 4
Ventura
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