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C-Osaka W vs Albirex Niigata W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Shimoyoshi Y.
79' Event
Nakanishi F.
90' Event
Arai M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with C-Osaka W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
C-Osaka W
40%
Draws
29%
Albirex Niigata W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Albirex Niigata W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Albirex Niigata W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Albirex Niigata W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
C-Osaka W Clean Sheet 20%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric C-Osaka W Albirex Niigata W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Albirex Niigata W vs C-Osaka W
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:3
Nov 30, 2025 WE League Cup Women
C-Osaka W vs Albirex Niigata W
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs C-Osaka W
3:1
Mar 2, 2025 WE League Women
C-Osaka W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

C-Osaka W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakanishi F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arai M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Albirex Niigata W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimoyoshi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

C-Osaka W 32 / 100
Albirex Niigata W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
C-Osaka W Albirex Niigata W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: C-Osaka W scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Albirex Niigata W conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

C-Osaka W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

C-Osaka W VS Albirex Niigata W
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

C-Osaka W

(Home)
16 May
C-Osaka W
1 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
10 May
C-Osaka W
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
03 May
JEF United W
0 : 1
C-Osaka W
26 Apr
Nojima Stella W
3 : 0
C-Osaka W
19 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 3
C-Osaka W
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Albirex Niigata W

(Away)
16 May
Beleza W
2 : 1
Albirex Niigata W
09 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 2
Nojima Stella W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
26 Apr
Saitama W
1 : 2
Albirex Niigata W
05 Apr
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija W640217:714
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima W650112:613
3Inac Kobe Leonesa W62048:136
4Saitama W61055:163
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beleza W640210:714
2Mynavi Sendai W64025:312
3JEF United W64025:310
4AC Parceiro Nagano W60065:120
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1C-Osaka W64027:612
2Urawa W640213:1011
3Albirex Niigata W62047:87
4Nojima Stella W62048:116
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams