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CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade 15 Octobre, Bizerte
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ben Hamida A. In: Traidi A.
Out: Ben Hamida A.
46'
Sub
Iffia F. In: Hamrouni M.
Out: Iffia F.
46'
Sub
Ayari H. In: Dao Y.
Out: Ayari H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between CA Bizertin and AS Marsa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Bizertin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CA Bizertin
20%
Draws
40%
AS Marsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Marsa come out ahead of CA Bizertin on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
CA Bizertin Clean Sheet 20%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Bizertin AS Marsa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
1:0
May 4, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Tunisia Cup
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
3:2
Nov 5, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs CA Bizertin
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs CA Bizertin
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Bizertin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferchichi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

AS Marsa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Bizertin 32 / 100
AS Marsa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Bizertin AS Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AS Marsa conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CA Bizertin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

CA Bizertin found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

CA Bizertin VS AS Marsa
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Bizertin

(Home)
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
05 Sept
CA Bizertin
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
02 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
Page 1 of 6

AS Marsa

(Away)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Esperance Tunis 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Ben Guerdane 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
4 CS Sfaxien 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Monastir 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
6 PS Sakiet Eddaier 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
7 Jeunesse Sportive 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 CA Bizertin 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Stade Tunisien 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
10 Etoile Sahel 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 AS Marsa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Zarzis 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
13 Metlaoui 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
14 Olympique Beja 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
15 Hamam-Sousse 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
16 Hammam-Lif 4 0 0 4 0:4 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)