Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade 15 Octobre, Bizerte
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
17'
Arfaoui Y.
20' Event
Khaloui M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AS Marsa in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Marsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CA Bizertin
20%
Draws
40%
AS Marsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CA Bizertin haven't matched AS Marsa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
CA Bizertin Clean Sheet 18%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Bizertin AS Marsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
1:0
May 4, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 Tunisia Cup
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa
3:2
Nov 5, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs CA Bizertin
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs CA Bizertin
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Bizertin Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayinde O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

AS Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Dao Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Bizertin 32 / 100
AS Marsa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Bizertin AS Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Marsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Marsa has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CA Bizertin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CA Bizertin found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

CA Bizertin VS AS Marsa
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Bizertin

(Home)
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
05 Sept
CA Bizertin
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
02 Aug
Club Africain
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
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AS Marsa

(Away)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)