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CA Bizertin vs Etoile Sahel

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 Stade 15 Octobre
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Bizertin play Etoile Sahel in the Ligue Professionnelle 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, CA Bizertin averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Etoile Sahel averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, CA Bizertin won 0, Etoile Sahel won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for CA Bizertin and 1.31 for Etoile Sahel. This points to a Etoile Sahel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CA Bizertin
27%
Draws
42%
Etoile Sahel
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Etoile Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Bizertin picked up more points recently compared to Etoile Sahel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
CA Bizertin Clean Sheet 18%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 52%
Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Bizertin Etoile Sahel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CA Bizertin
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs Etoile Sahel
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs CA Bizertin
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Club Friendly
Etoile Sahel vs CA Bizertin
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs Etoile Sahel
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Bizertin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Etoile Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dhaoui M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Bizertin 32 / 100
Etoile Sahel 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Bizertin Etoile Sahel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Etoile Sahel or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CA Bizertin attacking → ← attacking Etoile Sahel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Bizertin scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Etoile Sahel let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

CA Bizertin went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Etoile Sahel lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 45
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club Africain30199243:1066
2Esperance Tunis30189345:1163
3CS Sfaxien30188444:1362
4Stade Tunisien301212628:1448
5Monastir301112728:1945
6Zarzis301181130:2841
7Etoile Sahel301181128:3041
8Metlaoui30913819:2540
9Jeunesse Sportive301061424:3336
10Ben Guerdane308111118:2235
11AS Marsa301121726:3335
12CA Bizertin30891318:2933
13Olympique Beja30951618:3932
14JS Kairouan30941720:4131
15Soliman30691515:3127
16AS Gabes30391811:3718