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CA Cearense U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20

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Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Pele
76' Event
Romulo

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cearense U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CA Cearense U20
15%
Draws
59%
Sao Gerardo U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Gerardo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Gerardo U20 lately — more wins on the board than CA Cearense U20.
  • Win probability leans Sao Gerardo U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CA Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Sao Gerardo U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Cearense U20 Sao Gerardo U20
Matches Played 8 9
Wins 1 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Cearense U20
Sao Gerardo U20 vs CA Cearense U20
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Cearense U20
CA Cearense U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Cearense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sao Gerardo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pele
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Cearense U20 27 / 100
Sao Gerardo U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Cearense U20 Sao Gerardo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Gerardo U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Cearense U20 scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Defensive concern: Sao Gerardo U20 conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

CA Cearense U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Cearense U20 VS Sao Gerardo U20
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Cearense U20

(Home)
07 Aug
CA Cearense U20
2 : 3
Juventus CE U20
27 Jul
Alvinegro U20
0 : 3
CA Cearense U20
20 Jul
Sao Gerardo U20
1 : 0
CA Cearense U20
12 Jul
CA Cearense U20
0 : 1
Santa Cruz CE U20
22 Jun
Santa Cruz CE U20
3 : 0
CA Cearense U20
Page 1 of 2

Sao Gerardo U20

(Away)
13 Aug
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Sao Gerardo U20
07 Aug
Sao Gerardo U20
4 : 4
Alvinegro U20
20 Jul
Sao Gerardo U20
1 : 0
CA Cearense U20
13 Jul
Juventus CE U20
0 : 2
Sao Gerardo U20
07 Jul
Santa Cruz CE U20
1 : 0
Sao Gerardo U20
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acopiara U20 8 6 2 0 20:3 20
2 Iguatu U20 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Icasa U20 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
4 Crato U20 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
5 Cariri FC U20 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus CE U20 8 7 0 1 17:7 21
2 Santa Cruz CE U20 8 5 0 3 16:6 15
3 Sao Gerardo U20 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
4 CA Cearense U20 8 1 2 5 8:12 5
5 Alvinegro U20 8 0 2 6 6:29 2
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:9 19
2 Tirol U20 8 6 0 2 15:8 18
3 Atletico Cearense U20 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
4 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
5 Tiradentes U20 8 0 3 5 6:21 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 8 7 1 0 36:6 22
2 Ferroviario U20 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
3 Itapipoca U20 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Caucaia U20 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
5 Terra e Mar U20 8 0 1 7 1:34 1
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horizonte U20 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
2 Floresta EC U20 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
3 Pacatuba U20 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
4 Itarema U20 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams