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CA Cearense U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20

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Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Cearense U20 play Sao Gerardo U20 in the Cearense U20 2024. Sao Gerardo U20 are favorites here. Recently, CA Cearense U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Sao Gerardo U20 averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, CA Cearense U20 won 0, Sao Gerardo U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 20, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for CA Cearense U20 and 1.69 for Sao Gerardo U20. This points to a Sao Gerardo U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CA Cearense U20
33%
Draws
40%
Sao Gerardo U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sao Gerardo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Gerardo U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CA Cearense U20.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Sao Gerardo U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense U20 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CA Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Sao Gerardo U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Cearense U20 Sao Gerardo U20
Matches Played 8 9
Wins 1 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Cearense U20
Sao Gerardo U20 vs CA Cearense U20
1:0
Jun 15, 2024 Cearense U20
CA Cearense U20 vs Sao Gerardo U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Cearense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Romulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sao Gerardo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pele
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Cearense U20 27 / 100
Sao Gerardo U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Cearense U20 Sao Gerardo U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Cearense U20 scored in 63% of their last 8 games.

Sao Gerardo U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

CA Cearense U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sao Gerardo U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Cearense U20 VS Sao Gerardo U20
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Acopiara U20862020:320
2Iguatu U20842215:1114
3Icasa U2083056:139
4Crato U2082247:128
5Cariri FC U2081254:135
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Juventus CE U20870117:721
2Santa Cruz CE U20850316:615
3Sao Gerardo U20842215:814
4CA Cearense U2081258:125
5Alvinegro U2080266:292
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara U20861127:919
2Tirol U20860215:818
3Atletico Cearense U2083149:1210
4Alianca Futebol Clube U2081347:146
5Tiradentes U2080356:213
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza U20871036:622
2Ferroviario U20841317:1113
3Itapipoca U20841311:1013
4Caucaia U20830511:159
5Terra e Mar U2080171:341
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Horizonte U20641113:913
2Floresta EC U2062228:68
3Pacatuba U20622210:98
4Itarema U2061143:104