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CA Cerro vs Albion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
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Match Events

8' Event
Lopez A.
12'
Sub
Miranda A. In: Mederos R.
Out: Miranda A.
41' Event
Aleman B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between CA Cerro and Albion finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Cerro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CA Cerro
20%
Draws
40%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albion come out ahead of CA Cerro on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CA Cerro have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 20%
Albion Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Cerro Albion
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.79 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Albion
2:1
Feb 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs CA Cerro
3:0
Sep 17, 2021 Segunda Division
CA Cerro vs Albion
1:0
Jun 1, 2021 Segunda Division
Albion vs CA Cerro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Cerro Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleman B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cambon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Cerro 32 / 100
Albion 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Cerro Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Cerro's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Albion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Albion's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Cerro VS Albion
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Cerro

(Home)
04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Wanderers
27 Sept
Juventud
0 : 0
CA Cerro
23 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Maldonado
19 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 2
Penarol
13 Sept
Progreso
1 : 3
CA Cerro
Page 1 of 6

Albion

(Away)
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
2 Montevideo City 9 6 1 2 19:10 19
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 9 1 4 4 4:10 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)