Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Cerro vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lopez A.
12'
Sub
Miranda A. In: Mederos R.
Out: Miranda A.
41' Event
Aleman B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between CA Cerro and Albion finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Cerro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
CA Cerro
20%
Draws
11%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Cerro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albion come out ahead of CA Cerro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CA Cerro's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CA Cerro have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 68%
Albion Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Cerro Albion
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.76 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Albion
2:1
Feb 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs CA Cerro
3:0
Sep 17, 2021 Segunda Division
CA Cerro vs Albion
1:0
Jun 1, 2021 Segunda Division
Albion vs CA Cerro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Cerro Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleman B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cambon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Cerro 86 / 100
Albion 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Cerro Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Cerro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Cerro's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Albion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CA Cerro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CA Cerro VS Albion
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Cerro

(Home)
15 Aug
CA Cerro
2 : 1
Albion
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1
CA Cerro
03 Aug
Defensor Sp.
2 : 1
CA Cerro
26 Jul
CA Cerro
1 : 0
Racing Montevideo
12 Jul
Liverpool M.
1 : 2
CA Cerro
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Albion

(Away)
15 Aug
CA Cerro
2 : 1
Albion
08 Aug
Liverpool M.
1 : 0
Albion
01 Aug
Albion
2 : 2
Danubio
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 CA Cerro 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 Racing Montevideo 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Maldonado 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Wanderers 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Boston River 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Penarol 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Montevideo City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Central Esp. 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Cerro Largo 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
11 Juventud 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Danubio 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
13 Albion 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Club Nacional 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
15 Progreso 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
16 Defensor Sp. 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)